people keep calling bitcoin the safe haven. the hedge. the store of value.

but bitcoin opened 2026 around $93k, dropped 10% in January, another 14.8% in February, and barely scraped a 0.19% gain in March.

First back to back quarterly losses since 2022.

meaning, the exact conditions bitcoin was supposedly built for, war, inflation, currency debasement, geopolitical chaos, were all present this year. and it still went down.

gold hit an all time high of $5,589 in late January. It’s sitting around $4,500 right now after pulling back, and it’s still up on the year.

Central banks kept buying it through the dip!

both assets faced the same macro environment. one held. one didn’t.

i’m not saying bitcoin is dead or has no future (i still invest in crypto btc and other stable coins) but the specific claim that it’s a safe haven, a place to park money when the world gets scary, that claim has not held up in 2025 or so far in 2026.

so if your thesis for holding it is inflation protection or store of value during crises, what’s the actual evidence for that at this point?

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