A Snapchat story meant for 47 close friends accidentally exposed one of the strangest and most consistently profitable strategies on Polymarket: betting on how many times Elon Musk tweets in a week.

Someone posted their Polymarket winnings to Snapchat close friends last week, casually mentioning they had just made $19,000. One of those 47 people took a screenshot and posted it to Twitter. Within six hours it had 340,000 views. The wallet address was visible in the corner of the original image, and what it revealed stopped people mid-scroll.

The trader, tracked under the username Prexpect, had made $118,754 in profit across 1,943 predictions since joining Polymarket in November 2024. Every single bet was on the same market: how many times will Elon Musk tweet this week.

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