Date of Prediction
Target Price
Horizon / Deadline
Actual BTC Price on Deadline
% Error (vs Target)
Outcome
Jan 18 2018
$25 000
End of 2018
≈ $3 742
−85 %
❌ Missed badly (bear market)
Feb 28 2018
$20 000
Mid-2018
≈ $6 400
−68 %
❌ Missed
Feb 28 2018
$25 000
End of 2018
≈ $3 742
−85 %
❌ Missed
Apr 13 2018
$25 000
End of 2018
≈ $3 742
−85 %
❌ Missed
May 14 2018
$64 000
During 2019
≈ $7 200
−89 %
❌ Missed
Jun 17 2019
$40 000
Rest of 2019
≈ $7 200
−82 %
❌ Missed
Dec 31 2020
$120 000
2021
≈ $46 300 (Dec 2021)
−61 %
❌ Missed
Aug 10 2021
$100 000
End of 2021
≈ $46 300
−54 %
❌ Missed
Feb 21 2024
$150 000
End of 2024
≈ $43 000 (as of Oct 2025)
−71 %
❌ Not reached
May 23 2024
$150 000
2024
≈ $43 000
−71 %
❌ Not reached
Jan 2024
$100 000 – $150 000
Within 12 mo (→ Jan 2025)
≈ $44 000
−56 % to −70 %
❌ Not reached
Dec 2 2024
$250 000
“Next year” (→ 2025)
≈ $63 000 (Oct 2025)
−75 %
🕓 Still active
Summary
✅ Total predictions analyzed: 12
❌ Clearly correct: 0
⚠️ Pending (2025 horizon): 1
📉 Average miss: ≈ −70 %
submitted by /u/il_94 [link] [comments]r/CryptoCurrency
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